April 16, 2007

GUESSER GETS WEATHER RIGHT (Feb, 1932)

Filed under: Useless Tech — @ 9:32 am
Source: Popular Science ( More articles from this issue )
Issue: Feb, 1932
| Buy on Ebay

So, basically they are saying that long term weather prediction methodology is so bad that randomly guessing works better?

GUESSER GETS WEATHER RIGHT
While day-to-day weather forecasting enjoys reasonable accuracy, meteorologists have still to work out a basis for long-range prophecies. Nevertheless, Dr. C. F. Marvin, head of the U. S. Weather Bureau, is experimenting with a “scientific guesser.” Small balls are marked for a certain kind of weather. The balls are thoroughly mixed and poured into troughs. Their sequence, depending solely upon laws of chance, has proved strikingly similar to actual weather records.

2 Comments »

  1. they are saying it’s just the same…

    Comment by galessa — April 18, 2007 @ 6:46 am

  2. Amazing, seventy five years later they are still guess about the weather predictions , they are just using faster instruments. (Guessing about the weather… except for global warming, they know that is going to happen in ten years.)

    Comment by Mike — July 19, 2008 @ 3:03 pm

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a comment

Popular Posts

Recently Last 7 Days
Last 30 Days
All Time

42 queries. 0.619 seconds.