GUESSER GETS WEATHER RIGHT (Feb, 1932)

So, basically they are saying that long term weather prediction methodology is so bad that randomly guessing works better?

GUESSER GETS WEATHER RIGHT
While day-to-day weather forecasting enjoys reasonable accuracy, meteorologists have still to work out a basis for long-range prophecies. Nevertheless, Dr. C. F. Marvin, head of the U. S. Weather Bureau, is experimenting with a “scientific guesser.” Small balls are marked for a certain kind of weather. The balls are thoroughly mixed and poured into troughs. Their sequence, depending solely upon laws of chance, has proved strikingly similar to actual weather records.

3 comments
  1. galessa says: April 18, 20076:46 am

    they are saying it’s just the same…

  2. Mike says: July 19, 20083:03 pm

    Amazing, seventy five years later they are still guess about the weather predictions , they are just using faster instruments. (Guessing about the weather… except for global warming, they know that is going to happen in ten years.)

  3. darren says: October 26, 201012:54 am

    Using one chaos system to predict another chaos system, terrific.

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